Thursday, January 6, 2011

Western Washington home sales during December nearly equals year-ago levels

KIRKLAND, WA, January 5, 2011. December's volume of pending sales around Western Washington nearly matched the total for the same month a year ago, which was the best December since 2006.

Sellers accepted offers from 4,359 buyers last month, only 40 fewer than a year ago when members of Northwest Multiple Listing Service reported 4,399 pending sales of single family homes and condominiums. In 2008, members notched 3,255 pending sales, down from 2007's total of 3,950 pendings and the 2006 figure of 5,744 mutually accepted offers.

Eight counties had year-over-year increases in pending sales for December, with two others equaling the year-ago totals.

"If you were in any mall in Washington state in December, you got the feeling that the economy is headed in the right direction," said OB Jacobi, president of Windermere Real Estate Company and a member of the board of directors of Northwest Multiple Listing Service. "That increase in consumer confidence is the boost the real estate market needs," he suggested.

Closed sales, another barometer of activity, improved on November's volume, but dipped about 6 percent when compared to figures from twelve months ago.  MLS members reported 4,430 closings across its 21-county service area during December.  A year ago, brokers logged 4,711 completed transactions.

For 2010, Northwest MLS members tallied 52,408 closed sales of single family homes and condos (combined), up slightly from the previous year when there were 52,105 completed transactions.

"Despite the expiration of the tax credit, King County saw about 3 percent more home sales in 2010 than in 2009," Jacobi noted.

The area-wide median price for last month's closed sales of homes and condos was $255,000, up slightly from November's figure of $250,000, but down about 3.8 percent from a year ago when the median selling price was $265,000.  In King County, where 40 percent of last month's closings occurred, the median sales price was $342,400, about 2.2 percent lower than a year ago when it was $350,000.

Listing activity tapered off last month compared to 12 months ago.  Northwest MLS members added 5,460 new listings of single family homes and condominiums during December. That's down 7 percent from a year ago when 5,873 sellers listed their homes with a member-broker.

Last month's additions boosted system-wide inventory to 32,171 at month end. That number nearly equals the selection of a year ago when the NWMLS database encompassed 32,152 active listings, although thirteen counties have fewer properties for sale than at this time a year ago.

Measured by months supply (the time, in months, that it would take to sell existing inventory at the current rate of sales), there is a supply of less than 7.4 months across the NWMLS market area. (A market with a supply of approximately six months is considered balanced, favoring neither buyers nor sellers.)

Nationwide, the National Association of REALTORS® reported a 9.5-month supply. Both King and Snohomish counties have less than a 6-month supply.

"Buyers are taking their time and looking for the 'perfect' house," Jacobi observed. "One of our agents worked with a couple for over a year before a higher-end home they'd been eying for months had a price drop and they jumped on it," he noted, adding, "Whether it's a starter home or a luxury property, to sell in today's market a great home also needs to have a great price."

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, described continuing gains in home sales as encouraging and believes all the indicator trends are pointing to a gradual housing recovery. "In addition to exceptional affordability conditions, steady improvements in the economy are helping bring buyers into the market," he commented. However, he cautioned, further gains are needed to reach normal levels of sales activity, and home price prospects will vary depending largely upon local job market conditions.

NAR president Ron Phipps, broker-president of Phipps Realty in Warwick, R.I., expects good buying opportunities to continue.  The third generation real estate professional noted serious buyers have a lot of opportunities during the winter months since "traditionally there are far fewer buyers competing for properties at this time of year."  He believes buyers will enjoy favorable affordability conditions into the new year, even though he expects mortgage rates will gradually rise as 2011 progresses.

Northwest Multiple Listing Service, owned by its member brokers, is the largest full-service MLS in the Northwest. Its membership includes more than 24,000 brokers and agents. The organization, based in Kirkland, currently serves 21 counties in Western and Central Washington.


Statistical Summary by Counties: Market Activity Summary - December 2010
DEC 2010
Single
Family
Homes
+ Condos
LISTINGS
PENDING
SALES
CLOSED SALES
New
Listings
Total
Active
#Pending
Sales
# Closings
Average
Price
Median
Price
King
1,896
10,049
1,719
1,776
$422,008
$342,400
Snohomish
923
4,538
787
684
$273,727
$245,700
Pierce
1,035
5,118
760
701
$234,974
$215,450
Kitsap
241
1,500
208
239
$296,056
$235,000
Mason
76
623
44
46
$204,811
$164,650
Skagit
156
1,023
87
96
$285,461
$228,750
GraysHarbor
86
872
54
53
$166,451
$148,000
Lewis
83
679
53
52
$139,692
$125,250
Cowlitz
89
582
56
58
$159,957
$147,500
Grant
58
480
35
47
$162,040
$151,400
Thurston
244
1,446
201
217
$235,596
$229,000
San Juan
23
336
12
14
$586,929
$562,500
Island
107
836
67
87
$244,823
$230,000
Kittitas
31
374
25
43
$256,454
$205,000
Jefferson
49
437
23
19
$253,448
$218,000
Okanogan
19
337
12
22
$205,523
$189,000
Whatcom
170
1,486
121
162
$307,572
$255,000
Clark
37
243
26
28
$194,437
$187,000
Pacific
22
349
14
15
$110,145
$75,000
Ferry
5
57
0
4
$148,061
$152,000
Clallam
27
370
30
42
$215,380
$205,000
Others
83
436
25
25
$226,093
$189,900
MLS TOTAL
5,460
32,171
4,359
4,430
$319,461
$255,000

4-County Puget Sound Region Pending Sales (SFH + Condo combined)

(Totals include King, Snohomish, Pierce & Kitsap counties)

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2000
3706
4778
5903
5116
5490
5079
4928
5432
4569
4675
4126
3166
2001
4334
5056
5722
5399
5631
5568
5434
5544
4040
4387
4155
3430
2002
4293
4735
5569
5436
6131
5212
5525
6215
5394
5777
4966
4153
2003
4746
5290
6889
6837
7148
7202
7673
7135
6698
6552
4904
4454
2004
4521
6284
8073
7910
7888
8186
7583
7464
6984
6761
6228
5195
2005
5426
6833
8801
8420
8610
8896
8207
8784
7561
7157
6188
4837
2006
5275
6032
8174
7651
8411
8094
7121
7692
6216
6403
5292
4346
2007
4869
6239
7192
6974
7311
6876
6371
5580
4153
4447
3896
2975
2008
3291
4167
4520
4624
4526
4765
4580
4584
4445
3346
2841
2432
2009
3250
3407
4262
5372
5498
5963
5551
5764
5825
5702
3829
3440
2010
4381
5211
6821
7368
4058
4239
4306
4520
4350
4376
3938
3474





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